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Graham Stand Archives: Past Article About Why Being Mormon Helps Romney
By Rob Graham | Published  10/20/2006 | Top Stories , Religion , Publisher's Notes , Political , Community | Unrated
Romney's Mormonism (Cont'd)
This article was originally published in early 2006 -- it was the first to argue on a national forum that Romney's Mormonism might be a strength to his candidacy.

Apparently, the cultural revolution of the 1960's did not do much for religious tolerance. At least that is the “scoop” coming out of our nation’s capital as portrayed recently by well-known conservative columnist Robert Novak.  According to a recent article on whether Mitt Romney can sway the southern evangelical vote, Novak interviewed several key evangelical leaders who indicated that their rank-and-file would rather vote for Hilary Clinton than see a Mormon in the nation’s highest office and that without their vote, Romney cannot win.

Them’s fighten’ words.

Though well-respected, Novak and his sources are not free from a challenge, so let me do the challenging.

Are Novak and his sources implying that the most morally conservative voters in the United States would rather endorse a left-wing, abortion-endorsing, socialist-leaning, gay agenda-adopting, Bill Clinton-marrying, liberal than a God-fearing, card-carrying conservative Mormon, who has had remarkable success in business and in politics, and who has shown he is able to win a liberal state like Massachusetts? Either something is very wrong with Novak or something is very wrong with the Evangelicals he is interviewing.

Here are some of my observations as to why Novak and his sources have been sniffing the Cathedral incense too long and why Romney is the GOP’s best bet in returning a candidate to the White House.

First, he is the best of the leading candidates.  If you hadn’t noticed, his competitors are a mean gray-haired old man named John McCain from Arizona who cannot decide if he is loyal to the GOP or whether he is just a conservative Democrat.  You can only cross that line so many times without someone noticing.  The other candidate is Rudy Guliani.  He was a great mayor, but before 9/11, he was on his way out of office because of political scandal involving a marital affair.  Additionally, an examination of his political views put him on the far left of the conservative political spectrum, which, once interpreted, means he supports gay marriage rights and abortion.  If the highest office was only about 9/11 he would be a shoe-in, but the White House is about setting a conservative agenda and he fails on this count.  That leaves Romney.  

Romney is a well-seasoned politician who rescued the billion dollar Salt Lake Olympics from scandal, who has successfully run an investment business (which specialized in turning around companies in trouble) and has been a well-respected governor in Massachusetts after returning that state’s budget from a significant deficit to black and healthy.  He is conservative, he is religious, he can cross-over to get Democratic votes, he is young and healthy, he is a financial wizard and people just like him.  Certainly, Ronald Reagan has very little over this chap.

The second reason Romney is the best candidate is that in a Romney-Clinton run, the Mormon will win.  How is that possible, one might ask?  Here is a fair analysis.  

Romney is criticized for his Mormon faith, but a closer and a more fair examination will see straight through this issue. In many ways his Mormon faith might just be what is needed for the GOP.  If Romney is going to be criticized for something, can you imagine anything better than being too much of a goody-two-shoes?  A few appearances with the likes of Johnny Miller, Donny Osmond, Gladys Knight, Steve Young, Pat Buchanan’s sister Bay Buchanan and other prominent LDS folk will quickly put the religious conservative masses at ease. Though there are some in the deep – and we are talking in the woods deep – south will perceive Romney’s Mormon faith as a barrier to the highest office, in the end, it didn’t hurt Kennedy to be Catholic and being more morally adroit than every President since Washington should not offend most within the relgious mainstream. If it did, can you imagine America’s image after-the-fact? Ouch. And we thought Iran and China were unaccepting of religious diversity.

Let’s assume for a moment that Romney does lose a state or two in the south – which is highly unlikely given that his record is an exact match with the political movements of the south. But let’s assume the wacky far-far right wing convince their faithful that Romney is growing horns in his head.  No problem.  Political pundits have forgotten that Romney can carry a few northeastern states – something no one since the young John McCain has been able to do. A gain in only one state between Massachusetts and Minnesota will easily replace a religious revolt in a southern state.  In fact, the whole concept of religious intolerance might just motivate folks from the northeast to vote for Romney as a centralist who is not beholden to the extreme right.  Wouldn’t it be nice to have a president who doesn’t have to call Jerry Falwell for advice before he signs a bill?  Just where is that a problem for America?

And then there is the secret weapon.  Most in the east, including Robert Novak and many supposed religious leaders in the deep south have no experience in western elections. That is probably why these “leaders” would attempt to flex their muscles this early in the game – because they are not only ignorant, but they are also ignorant.  Specifically, they are ignorant to Romney’s power base in the west.

Perhaps Novak and these narrow-minded religious leaders have overlooked the fact that the west, from the Colorado mountains to the Pacific Ocean, was settled and secured for the United States by religious refugees escaping persecution.  Those refugees were called Mormons. Every major city in the west has its roots in Mormon settlements and the Mormons stayed.  There are millions of them in the southwest and northwest and they are politically strong.

Consider the recent scourge and embarrassment occurring in Las Vegas politics. Once the corrupt politicians were thrown out of office, the electorate replaced them with Mormons. Why?  Because Mormons have shown over time they are trustworthy in office.  Not perfect, but at least trustworthy.  Howard Hughes surrounded himself with Mormons. On both sides of the parties, Democrat and Republican, Mormons serve or have served as local, state and federal elected officials with very few “issues.”  That tradition is ingrained in the political workings of the western states.

Mormons also turn out in droves to vote.  In Nevada, for instance, Mormons only represent eight percent of the population, but when it comes time to vote, Mormons are so dedicated that they represent nearly twenty percent of the voting block.  That is one in every five votes.  It doesn’t matter who lives in the southwest, only who votes in the southwest, and Mormons have a long and very stable record of voting in every election.  If Romney is challenged because he is Mormon, you can expect a monster turn out of the Mormons to the polls and that would spell doom for any competitor.

Consider as an example of the Mormon electorate muscle-flex, the recent pro-marriage initiatives in liberal states like Hawaii, Oregon and California.  Thanks to a highly effective Mormon turnout, these initiatives passed by hefty and comfortable margins.  It wasn’t the Mormons alone, but those familiar with Mormon politics know that conservative Christians and Jews were equally motivated to “do the right thing.”  We can expect a repeat of that same accepting mentality when it comes to putting the right man in office, regardless of his religious views.  In the west, Mormons are the norm and are mainstream.  That means Romney can spend more time enlightening the south.

If the faithful Mormons simply turned out in high numbers in the west, it would be a real challenge, but one cannot overlook the built in support system that Romney will have coming to the southwest. Mormons are not only good voters, they are also fantastic volunteers and they love conservative politics.  Ninety-five or so percent of Mormons are also Republicans.  If we count millions of Mormons in the southwest, we should assume that Romney will be able to motivate many of these millions to help advance his campaign. You will also see a strong number of the religious right advance his candidacy in the southwest as Mormons have worked hand-in-hand with the religious right on many moral issues.  With potentially hundreds of thousands of these workers, there will be few city blocks without a Romney for President sign.

Clinton would have to pull off a major miracle to simply overcome the numbers of volunteers.  Obviously states like Utah and Idaho are already in the bag for Romney, but other states like Hawaii, Washington, Oregon and New Mexico would actually be in play because of the strong volunteer force Romney would bring to the table.  Indeed, Romney could even take California with the right message and the right VP Candidate. No other candidate would even have a shot at many of these states.

Is it possible that Romney’s being separate from the far religious right might be the very thing that makes him so attractive to voters? If John McCain is a strong candidate because of his ability to attract the cross-over vote, then Romney is a Goliath as he can attract both the conservative voter as well as the cross-over Democratic voter as he will not be beholden to those with radical right viewpoints.

So when Novak talks about losing a few narrow-minded evangelicals, and that the loss of these votes spells doom for Romney, he fails to recognize the off-setting strengths and intangibles that Romney brings to the table.  When one considers what an army of volunteers can do for Romney – unpaid and motivated – and how many western and cross-party voters he will get out, you start to see the true picture of why Romney is the best candidate for the Republican Party.
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Comments
  • Comment #1 (Posted by John)

    I think you are right on the mark with your analysis. Romney would be a tough candidate.
     
  • Comment #2 (Posted by an unknown user)

    Great article about Romney. Thanks for sharing my views!
     
  • Comment #3 (Posted by Chris Christiansen)

    Rob Graham's commentary assumes that Mitt Romney will be an easy win in the conservative southwest states with large Mormon populations. Matt Salmon, a Mormon, found out otherwise when he lost the 2002 Arizona election for governor to Democrate Janet Napolitano. The flagrant anti-Mormon mud thrown by a third party candidate was just enough to swayed ignorant voters for Salmon to lose.



    Note from Publisher: Good point. Not all Mormon Candidates are going to win simply because of their religion; however, Mitt Romney is a political heavyweight with very strong credentials. I think the press will handle Romney as a media darling as he will be the underdog because of his religion (and they can't stand Evangelicals). Local press won't count for as much in a Presidential Bash.
     
  • Comment #4 (Posted by Darick Nordstrom)

    PLEASE let us have him be governor of California, first!
     
  • Comment #5 (Posted by Sherpa)

    I enjoyed your article, but find that you are trying to take an objective position, but your personal religion betrays that objectivity.



    Note from Publisher: Objectivity does not require blinders.
     
  • Comment #6 (Posted by John)

    You seem to presume that all or most Mormons will vote for Romney because he is a Mormon. Am I reading you correctly? For someone who calls McCain mean, your story directs a lot of mean spirit toward other potential candidates. This isn't to say I'm pro-anyone or anti-Romney; just an observation.
     
  • Comment #7 (Posted by Mark)

    I hope true followers of Christ will see themselves as not a member of any political party, but as responsible citizens that vote according to their beliefs. The GOP stands against many of our beliefs, just as the Democratic party does. Do not fall in line with the party. Please do not go along with the 'conservative' vote. A majority of Mormon voters chose the worst of the two candidates last time - a liar, an incompetent, a murderer, someone that puts his personal friendships far above the good of the country and of the world. Learn a lesson from this costly mistake and do not support a candidate simply because he is a member of the GOP.
     
  • Comment #8 (Posted by Christopher A. Wheeler)

    I think you're overestimating the amount of members that would vote for him.

    There are nearly 12 million church members worldwide, but more than half are outside the US. Out of the remaining 6 million, some are kids or teenagers who won't be able to vote, some are inactive or less-active members who might not vote for him. And of the remaining, not all are Repubican.


    Notes from Publisher: True and Not True. The LDS church does not count children under the age of eight. Ten year olds can easily carry around a political sign. Even if Romney could only count on ten percent, that is a significant number of volunteers. I would estimate nearly seventy percent of LDS would vote for an LDS Republican Candidate. Those are tough numbers to beat as it is a built-in and dedicated base.
     
  • Comment #9 (Posted by Gary Glenn)

    Evangelical Christians won't get around to voting against Romney because of his faith. Social conservatives -- including, perhaps especially, his fellow Mormons -- will not support Romney once they discover his long pro-abortion, pro-homosexual "rights" record as political candidate and governor in Massachusetts, where he was endorsed by the pro-abortion Republican Majority for Choice PAC and twice by the homosexual Log Cabin Republicans. Until this year, Romney has been insistenly and clearly pro-abortion, saying we should "sustain and support" Roe v. Wade. He believes the Boy Scouts should allow openly homosexual Scoutmasters. He supported tax-financed same-sex benefits for the partners of govt. employees involved in homosexual relationships. He endorsed Ted Kennedy's federal "gay rights" legislation. He has appointed at least two homosexual activists to the bench. He called a state marriage amendment "too extreme" after being told by reporters that his own wife and son had signed a petition to place it on the ballot. Rob Graham should have researched Romney's actual record before holding Mitt up as an exemplar of LDS moral and cultural values. Romney's record is anathema to the political views of Mormons I know and love.


    Notes from Publisher:


    On the issue of his "record" not overturning Roe v. Wade is not an anti-abortion stance. I am very much against abortion, but see Roe v. Wade as settled law. It certainly can be trimmed and cut, but even the LDS church is more liberal than the pro-life stance, e.g., a woman has an absolute right to choose an abortion in case of incest, rape or (the very broad definition) the health of the mother. The most extreme Pro-life position is no abortion under any circumstance. To that end, I think Romney is in step with accepted law as well as a more liberal position on abortion than that of the most extreme voices in the Pro-life movement.
     
  • Comment #10 (Posted by HiveRadical)

    I think Novak might have been refering to the issue of getting Romney into the Republican nomination more than necesarily gettning elected nationaly.

    For example here in Utah there were one or two candidates that would have easily gotten into office in the last gubenatorial election if they'd been nominated for the Republican ticket by the State GOP delegates, yet because they never got out of the GOP convention they never had the chance to make it to the mainstream.

    Likewise I think Romney would have a chance nationaly if he can make it through the gauntlet that is the party's candidate nomination process.
     
  • Comment #11 (Posted by Gary Glenn)

    In defending Romney's record of support for abortion on demand, the publisher ignores the adage: "When you're in a hole, stop digging." First, I doubt you'd find many -- LDS or otherwise -- who'd agree with the astonishing assertion that supporting Roe v Wade is not a pro-abortion position. Nor, to my knowledge, does the Church "broadly define" acceptable exceptions to a ban on abortion to include the "health" of the mother, which can include mental or emotional or even financial considerations, i.e., no limits at all. Instead, the Church limits the exception to the "life" of the mother. Finally, in defending Romney, the publisher bears the burden of trying to explain away the Bill Clinton position on abortion that Mitt Romney himself voiced in a televised statewide debate in Massachusetts: "I believe that abortion should be safe and legal in this country. I have since the time when my Mom took that position when she ran in 1970 as a U.S. Senate candidate. I believe that since Roe v. Wade has been the law for 20 years that we should sustain and support it, and I sustain and support that law and the right of a woman to make that choice." Romney's endorsement by the pro-abortion Republican Majority for Choice PAC seals the deal. Finally, it's notable that the publisher limited his defense of Romney only to the abortion issue and didn't even attempt a defense of Romney's record of support for homosexual activists' political agenda. Based on my conversations with LDS family member, friends, and candidates whose campaigns I've managed or consulted, Mormons will not support Romney once they're made aware of his pro-abortion, pro-homoseuxal record.
     
  • Comment #12 (Posted by Gary Glenn)

    I stand corrected. The First Presidency statement does include a reference to health: "The Church opposes abortion and counsels its members not to submit to or perform an abortion except in the rare cases where, in the opinion of competent medical counsel, the life or good health of the mother is seriously endangered or where the pregnancy was caused by rape and produces serious emotional trauma in the mother. Even then it should be done only after counseling with the local presiding priesthood authority and after receiving divine confirmation through prayer." Mitt Romney, however, has expressly and publicly supported a woman's "right" to terminate the life of her prenatal child without exception, including "sustain(ing) and support(ing)" the Roe v Wade decision that enshrined abortion on demand without limitation.



    Notes from Publisher: I am not a pro-abortion advocate, but I do know that abortion is not going away. I would be very content with the language of the church as law, but even that is probably too restrictive in light of Roe v. Wade and too liberal for pro-life advocates. In many pro-life rallies, I have heard an absolute rule proposed that would make equal the right of the mother and the right of the child -- as equals. That has never been the tradition, even when the puritans were dictating the law. It is an absolute that is not workable in a plural society. I think we see eye-to-eye on this (wanting to restrict abortion, but not eliminate it under life, health or emotional criteria). Though Romney may support the Right to an Abortion, the real question becomes what limits would he accept on that right? Someone should ask because I think he is more conservative on limiting -- similar to what the law is today.



    Now on the issue of homosexuality, I think Romney's position on gay marriage puts him on the conservative side of that issue. The bigger question is whether he will treat others fairly, gay or not gay. It is clearly a balance of wanting to include gays in society, but also limiting the social policy of the left-wing anti-family values being pushed by gay extremists.



    Harry Reid's position is so liberal that he seems to be adopting some of the radical social policies. I don't think Romney is that liberal on social policy involving gays, but at the same time, as a political leader, he has allowed for partner rights (but that also favors those who are "living in sin"). Despite those issues, I still believe a card carrying Mormon can draw upon the Mormon masses in a way other candidates cannot.
     
  • Comment #13 (Posted by Gary Glenn)

    Ronald Reagan, solidly pro-life and otherwise conservative, probably won 80 percent plus of the Mormon vote, and he of course was not a member of the Church. Could Mitt Romney, just because he is a member, win the votes of many Mormons? Of course, but where this discussion began was with a commentary challenging Robert Novak's assertion that evangelical Christians would not support Romney because of his faith. I continue to believe that the overwhelming majority social conservatives, including many LDS voters, will not stomach (or support) a Massachusetts politician who appoints homosexual activists to the bench, who insistently supported a woman's alleged "right to choose" to terminate the life of her child in all circumstances, and who believes the Boy Scouts should allow openly homosexual Scoutmasters. Similarly, pro-life voters couldn't care less what Mitt's "personal" views on the subject are; the only thing that will matter in the GOP primary is the pro-abortion public policy position he took over the last decade.
     
  • Comment #14 (Posted by Gary Glenn)

    Frankly, this is a sad situation for members of the Church and for relations with members of other churches. Here's why. Evangelicals (and other social conservatives) will in fact not vote for Mitt Romney, some simply because he's LDS, and others because they're educated as to his pro-abortion, pro-homosexual record as a Massachusetts politician. But the great mass of Mormons, who likely won't be intimately familiar with Romney's record, will just assume that Romney was rejected solely because of his faith. This is bad on all counts. First, the general populace sees a serious LDS candidate for president, but one with a record (abortion, gay rights) that severely misrepresents mainstream LDS values. Second, evangelicals' refusal to vote for Romney, even those motivated by his record rather than his faith, will be largely assumed to be religious bigots nonetheless. The solution: give us a real LDS candidate for president, one who has consistently championed the Right to Life and has not been endorsed by pro-abortion groups. One who has stood steadfastly against enabling or enshrining self-destructive homosexual behavior and the political agenda that seeks to legitimize and promote it, who has not been endorsed by a homosexual activist group. Then we can judge those evangelicals who still vote against the solidly pro-life, pro-family LDS candidate. But it's not fair to Mormons or evangelicals to put forth an LDS candidate with a pro-abortion, pro-homosexual record (Romney) and then accuse evangelicals of religious bigotry if they refuse to support him.
     
  • Comment #15 (Posted by Blair Whitney)

    This is an interesting take on Governor Mitt Romney as a potential leading GOP candidate for the 2008 Presidential Elections.

    I would like to ask the author Rob Graham if universal health care, where it is made illegal by the State to not carry health insurance, is a form of socialism. I think that any person would describe this type of universal health care that is mandatory for all citizens and subsidized by the State to be a socialist program.
    Well, just like Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney is for this type of healthcare, and in fact is leading the nation by implementing the very first state-wide universal, mandatory health insurance program via his State Government. Sounds pretty socialist leaning to me. Not that being for socialist health care is a bad thing, but pretty hypocritical of the author to complain about Hillary Clinton being socialist leaning, when so is Governor Mitt Romney.

    Quite a few people who claim to be conservative are interesting. They say they want government out of our private and business lives, with less government and less regulation. However, they then say that government should make the private decision that a woman makes to decide if an unwanted pregnancy should be carried to term to make an unwanted baby. Just like you do not need to be promotional of or happy about U.S. flag burning, yet still do not feel it worth a rare U.S. Federal Constitution amendment to ban it, you can be privately against abortion yet still not feel that Government should step in and make an abortion decision for you. It is a private matter for the woman - not a Federal Government matter. Conservative Republicans claim that they are for State and local rights, as described in the U.S. Constitution, but then want the U.S. Federal Government to override State marriage laws and medical marijuana laws. You cannot have it both ways.

    To me being moral would be to not lead our nation into it's very first optional, preemptive war in the history of our great nation. We have now occupied Iraq for years, and we have slaughtered tens of thousand of innocent Iraqi civilian men, women and children in the process. The reason to do so was to bring democracy to the country. (By the way, the war in Afghanistan was the correct response to 9/11, yet we have paid too much attention to the second war in Iraq, and are not giving enough resources to the war on Muslim fundamentalist terror over in Afghanistan. Last I checked, Osama Bin Laden, the leader of the 9/11 attack, is still at large and thumbing his nose at us). It is not a good enough reason to invade and occupy a sovereign nation - because you do not like it's leadership. It is not moral to "go to war with the Army you have, not the Army you want" as our Defense Secretary Rumsfield did, and at the same time to have given tax cuts to the rich when we have not properly funded and built armor protected military vehicles or do not have enough body armor for each and everyone of our National Guardsmen in Iraq. Due to this inadequate planning and funding, the best of our young generation is being slaughtered by the hundreds by crude roadside bombs because of inadequate armor. Why do they have to drive down the road in a Humvee, which is not much more than a GM Hummer SUV ? It is not moral to give tax cuts to the rich while at the same time your country is at war and does not have the Army you may want. This is first time in our nation that we have rolled back taxes during war time. We do not even have a war time draft, so we are not sending a wide representation of our U.S. citizens over to Iraq to kill and die for us.

    It does not seem moral to pretend that Global Warming is not happening, and that there is still scientific doubt about it. The only scientists that still say there is any doubt about the existence of massive global warming are funded by ExxonMobil. What will my children say when they are old and live in California where the Pacific Ocean is 10-20 feet high in sea level that it now is ? What will folks in Florida think when they remember their good ole Governor Jeb Bush, when half of their state is underwater ? What will our kids and grandchildren think when the North Polar ice cap is all melted and the polar bears are all dead. Will they think our political leadership of the GOP was moral during the Bush Administration, as they did nothing to curb carbon dioxide emissions or to increase dramatically vehicle MPG ? In fact, the Bush Administration and the GOP actually fight all efforts to increase vehicle fuel efficiency standards or to regulate via the Federal Environmental Protection Agency the levels of carbon dioxide and greenhouse gases coming out of our vehicles, factories and energy plants. And of course they are against any international treaties to curb global warming and greenhouse gases.
     
  • Comment #16 (Posted by Withheld)

    Gary Glenn, I didn't realize how pro-abortion and pro-homosexual rights Romney is. I wasn't going to vote for him because I don't like the Church's stance on politics, but I might vote for him, afterall.
     
  • Comment #17 (Posted by Alan)

    Interesting insights. It will be interesting to see if he even runs, and if he does, how well he will do.
     
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